An editorial released Friday in the New England Journal of Medicine speculated that the coronavirus at present inflicting panic in world markets may prove no worse than “a severe seasonal influenza” by way of mortality.
Citing an analysis of the available data from the outbreak in China, the authors note that there have been zero instances amongst kids younger than 15; and that the fatality rate is 2% at most, and could possibly be “considerably less than 1%.”
Those who have died have been elderly or were already affected by another illness, as with ordinary flu.
The underlying data recommend that the symptoms vary, and fewer than one in six of the cases reported has been “severe.”
The authors observe that coronavirus seems to be a lot less extreme than other recent outbreaks of respiratory illnesses:
[T]he overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%) or a pandemic influenza (similar to those in 1957 and 1968) rather than a disease similar to SARS or MERS, which have had case fatality rates of 9 to 10% and 36%, respectively.
The overwhelming majority of patients recover, and amongst those that are hospitalized, the median stay up to now is 12 days.
Coronavirus, they observe, does spread easily, and the average infected particular person has infected two different people.
Which means the U.S. ought to anticipate the sickness to achieve a “foothold.” However, they note travel restrictions on China (imposed by President Donald Trump over the objections of some critics) “may have helped slow the spread of the virus.”
While we live in a time when Democrats are trying to politicize a virus, it’s important to keep in perspective what the coronavirus is and is not. Panic can set in easily when you have irresponsible politicians pushing for a way to harm the president’s reelection efforts. Just keep that in mind when you hear the jackasses sound off.